- Current Local Time in Pretoria, South Africa
- Fitch Ratings Analysts
- Current Local Time in Pretoria, South Africa
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Regional Sites. Contact Us. Overview More It aims to reconcile three key pillars—ensuring energy security, minimising costs and meeting environmental commitments. Just 1GW of new gas-fired capacity is planned to be installed by , rising to 2GW by The budget deficit for has soared to 5.
A radical shift from coal could also face opposition from the over 85, South Africans that work in the industry, as well as the three-quarters of the population who saw keeping power prices low as a priority in a recent energy ministry poll. Mantashe maintains strong links with the unions he is a former Communist Party chair and mining industry and is expected to retain his current cabinet role for the foreseeable future. The IRP even provides for 1. The Medupi power station, where construction started in , is still not fully operational and is reportedly responsible for the periodic load-shedding.
Its conditions would almost certainly include moving away from its overreliance on coal. Gas is where the future lies for power generation in South Africa. Mantashe does at least seem willing to consider gas options.
Fitch Ratings Analysts
Total and its partners announced the game-changing Brulpadda gas and liquids discovery off the Mossel Bay coast in February. At km out into heavy seas, Total will have to draw on all of its UK West of Shetland deepwater expertise. The conditions offshore Mossel Bay have scuppered previous exploitation ambitions. Fast-tracking the process means that Total can drill fresh wells in early Total will shoot follow-up prospects in early Barring the challenging marine conditions, development hurdles seem relatively low—the geology is proven, there is a waiting domestic market, infrastructure is already partially in place and the government has signed a memorandum of understanding MoU to give Total complete rights to operate.
It is too early to predict when FID will take place, but gas could start flowing in the mids. The South African domestic market is the most commercially viable option, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie. And, even if Total wanted to consider LNG export options, it may well encounter regulatory issues. But while Brulpadda should provide supply in the medium to long-term, South Africa will need to import gas in the meantime.
The IRP makes provision for gas-fired power projects from The Coega Special Economic Zone SEZ site will enable new gas-fired plants as well as the conversion of diesel plants to gas—and import feedstock for the Mossel Bay gas-to-liquids refinery—with a framework to support the programme to be announced shortly.
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Gas-to-power technologies will provide the flexibility required to complement intermittent renewable energy and meet demand during peaking hours. South African refiner Sasol has imported the bulk of gas currently consumed in the country via the Rompco pipeline from Mozambique since However, as these fields age, it has warned of supply constraints from Gas was found offshore Mozambique-Tanzania in , with proven reserves shared two-thirds and one-third respectively.
Total, which will operate the facility once its acquisition of the stake held by US independent Anadarko prior to it being swallowed by fellow US indie Occidental completes, is targeting a start-up. Most of it will go to the world market, with long-term contracts signed with various Asian [customers]. Mozambique is also considering a southern LNG import facility, but this could potentially help, rather than hinder, the pipeline concept. And it also has growing domestic generation feedstock requirements—it recently secured multilateral financing approval for a MW gas-fired power plant and transmission line to the capital Maputo.
Another MW gas-fired station on the Mozambique side of the border with South Africa is up and running and feeding into the southern African grid. South Africa could alternatively secure gas from the apparently unlikely source of northern Zimbabwe.
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Another option could be to construct gas-fired power capacity in Zimbabwe and transport electricity, rather than gas, to its southern neighbour. Eskom is slated to be restructured into separate functions, including a split of its generation, transmission and distribution arms.
But Mantashe scotches rumours that the unbundling may be a precursor to privitisation. It is going to be unbundled and re-define the role of transmission… and the buying and selling of energy. The objective is not private ownership—the objective is for Eskom to provide reliability and security of energy supply.